Happy New Year everyone. Well not for the stock market though you wouldn't know it from the "trillion dollar survey." A survey of various powerful money managers. A recap was given here.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=618866675&play=1
Good grief. In the survey 89% think the S&P will finish up for the year. 60% think it will finish up 8% or more. Only 2% think there is a greater than 50% chance for a recession!!!! 30% think the U.S. will be the number one performing market in the world!!! That is ahead of China which is 21%.
A couple of comments. There is no way the market can have a strong 20 to 25% run if that is the true level of pessimism (there is none). I coulnd't believe it. I can't believe I am saying this (again) but Cramer made a couple of comments (which I agreed with) on this and said he threw up his hands when he heard it.
Well so much for 2008....maybe 2009 will be better. (I am joking.....sort of)
Thursday, January 3, 2008
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